Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
19%
26%
55%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
42%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
COX
3 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
CEL
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ARE
4 - 0
COX
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
1 - 0
ARE
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ARE
0 - 0
ATO
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ALO
1 - 0
ARE
58%
21%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
ARE
2 - 1
BOU
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |