Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 2
CHO
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ALO
2 - 1
OUR
29%
26%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ARE
0 - 0
ALO
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALO
4 - 0
RIB
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 1
ALO
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ALO
0 - 0
PON
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |