Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ARE
0 - 1
CHO
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 1
OUR
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 0
CHO
27%
24%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PON
0 - 0
CHO
20%
22%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 3
ARO
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALO
4 - 0
PON
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALO
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALO
1 - 1
UPH
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 4
ALO
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ALO
1 - 1
RCV
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |