Choco U19 vs Real Avilés U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
12º
26
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
DEP
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VER
2 - 1
CHO
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
SPO
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 4
CHO
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
GIM
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
5 - 0
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
REA
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |