Choco B vs Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
CHO
33%
21%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
LTA
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 2
CHO
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 5
CHO
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
PRO
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TYD
1 - 0
RIV
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
XIN
26%
23%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
RIV
67%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 4
NIE
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |