Choco B vs Nigrán Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 3
CHO
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
GUI
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHO
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
RIV
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
CHO
33%
21%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nigrán Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 0
PRO
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TYD
3 - 3
NIG
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NIG
5 - 0
XIN
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 5
NIG
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 1
NIE
42%
21%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |