Choco B vs Gondomar Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 5
CHO
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GDM
1 - 8
CHO
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CHO
6 - 1
CRI
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 5
CHO
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 4
ARE
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GON
3 - 2
GDM
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
GON
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GON
4 - 1
RAP
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARE
2 - 2
GON
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GON
1 - 6
GUI
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |