Choco B vs Chapela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEI
0 - 4
CHO
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
NIE
45%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHO
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHO
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
TEI
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chapela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
GDM
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 2
CHA
15%
18%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 3
CHA
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 10
CHA
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
MIN
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |