Chlef vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chlef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHL
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
USB
1 - 0
CHL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
HUS
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
NCM
1 - 0
CHL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 1
TLE
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
USB
1 - 2
USM
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
USM
1 - 1
HUS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
NCM
2 - 1
USM
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
USM
1 - 3
BBA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 1
USM
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |