Chispa SD vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+233%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SMI
3 - 2
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
BAM
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POI
0 - 0
CHI
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
DOR
50%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
ROM
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
RIB
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOR
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
SMI
63%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
BAM
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |