Chirk AAA vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
87.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.3%
0-5
6.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.5%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AAA
2 - 1
PRE
40%
21%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MSF
0 - 3
AAA
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
AAA
40%
21%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
2 - 1
POR
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
6 - 2
FLI
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 3
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 7
TNS
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PON
0 - 2
TNS
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |