Chirk AAA vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
62.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 2
AAA
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 4
FLI
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
13%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
AAA
31%
22%
48%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 2
AAA
58%
19%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 1
POR
55%
19%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
DEN
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 2
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
GFC
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +5 |