Chipstead vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
TOO
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
UXB
20%
22%
59%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
COR
3 - 1
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
WAL
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RAM
3 - 0
CHI
77%
14%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
HOR
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 2
STN
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 4
WOR
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
STN
1 - 1
WOR
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HAS
1 - 3
WOR
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |