Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
COR
38%
25%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
CHI
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 3
SOU
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
RAM
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RED
0 - 3
MER
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
GUE
1 - 2
MER
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MER
4 - 0
HYT
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |