Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
WOR
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WHI
3 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
THR
1 - 3
CHI
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
HAS
19%
24%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
CHI
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
RED
1 - 1
MER
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
SIT
52%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
RAM
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
WAL
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |