Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 4
CHI
36%
24%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
GOD
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
CHI
23%
23%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
COR
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
MER
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 4
CHI
36%
24%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 4
WHI
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |