Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 1
CHI
40%
26%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 3
BOG
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
WAL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 3
CHI
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 4
DUL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MER
2 - 3
DUL
31%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 5
WAL
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 2
MER
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
BUR
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
MER
2 - 4
BOG
22%
24%
53%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |