Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
CRO
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MER
0 - 3
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
WHI
39%
25%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MER
0 - 3
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
DUL
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TOW
1 - 1
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
FLE
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
HOR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |