Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
WHI
5 - 1
CHI
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 3
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
TOW
1 - 0
CHI
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 2
GOD
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 3
CHI
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
WHY
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
CRO
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COR
2 - 2
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
MET
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |