Chipstead vs Lancing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
4 - 1
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 1
CHI
31%
23%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
6 - 2
HAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PEA
4 - 1
CHI
60%
20%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
PEA
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lancing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 0
LAN
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 3
LAN
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |