Chipstead vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
VCD
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
LEW
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ASH
3 - 1
CHI
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 1
CHI
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
WHY
2 - 1
CHI
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GUE
1 - 1
ASH
34%
21%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
THA
5 - 0
GUE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GUE
0 - 1
CRA
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
SIT
4 - 0
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
PHO
5 - 0
GUE
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |