Chipstead vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PEA
1 - 3
CHI
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WHY
3 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
DOR
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
HAS
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 1
FOL
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
HYT
2 - 1
FOL
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
WOR
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |