Chippis vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
STA
5 - 0
CHI
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 4
USC
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SBC
4 - 1
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
CSC
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
VER
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
FCA
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 2
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |