Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
12º
73
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SSU
2 - 0
CHI
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 0
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHI
36%
29%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MPU
0 - 2
SUN
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 0
RIB
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 1
SUN
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |