Chinchilla vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CLE
0 - 0
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
MAN
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RRB
0 - 2
CHI
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAM
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ABA
4 - 1
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 2
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 1
QUI
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 0
LME
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AEL
0 - 0
MOT
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 2
CVA
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |