Chinchilla vs Las Mesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAH
1 - 0
CHI
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
ELB
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
6 - 1
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
OMA
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HBA
3 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Las Mesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LME
3 - 0
CLE
33%
23%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
LME
47%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LME
2 - 0
AJU
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOB
2 - 1
LME
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LME
2 - 0
OPT
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |