Chinchilla vs El Bonillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
6 - 1
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
OMA
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HBA
3 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
PED
24%
22%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
El Bonillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ELB
5 - 1
VIL
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CVA
4 - 1
ELB
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ELB
0 - 0
SCL
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
ELB
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ELB
5 - 0
ESI
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |