China vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CHN
4 - 1
SGP
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SGP
2 - 2
CHN
11%
19%
71%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
0 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
THA
0 - 3
KOR
15%
23%
63%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
THA
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
2 - 1
THA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
KSA
0 - 0
THA
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
THA
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |