China vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
0 - 2
NED
10%
18%
73%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
KSA
2 - 1
CHN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OMA
1 - 0
CHN
30%
27%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LBN
5 - 2
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
THA
1 - 3
KWT
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
THA
2 - 2
PRK
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
THA
1 - 3
FIN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
THA
1 - 0
SGP
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |