China vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
THA
1 - 2
CHN
26%
25%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
VIE
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 1
SYR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 1
MAS
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
KOR
5 - 0
SGP
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
6 - 0
VIE
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
4 - 0
TUN
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 1
KSA
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
KOR
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |