China vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
8 - 0
CHN
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
CHN
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
GHA
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CHN
3 - 0
VIE
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHN
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |