China vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 2
UZB
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CHN
0 - 2
QAT
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 2
CHN
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 3
CHN
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
PAR
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
HND
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
NZL
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NZL
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
SVK
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |