China vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRQ
3 - 1
CHN
28%
25%
46%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
CHN
0 - 0
KSA
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IDN
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IDN
1 - 1
CHN
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
QAT
0 - 0
MKD
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 2
CMR
32%
27%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MKD
2 - 1
LVA
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SRB
5 - 1
MKD
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |