China vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CHN
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 0
LVA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 4
URU
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
CHN
2 - 1
SYR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
MKD
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
MKD
0 - 1
RUS
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
AND
0 - 2
MKD
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
MKD
2 - 2
ARM
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SVK
1 - 0
MKD
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |