China vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
KSA
2 - 1
CHN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OMA
1 - 0
CHN
30%
27%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
IDN
0 - 3
NED
6%
15%
80%
|
96 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NED
4 - 0
ROU
74%
17%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NED
3 - 0
EST
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
17%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NED
0 - 0
GER
43%
23%
34%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |