WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 11-0
China vs Myanmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
UZB
3 - 0
CHN
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 2
IRN
26%
23%
52%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 5
CHN
6%
16%
78%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 1
CHN
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
CHN
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Myanmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MMR
1 - 0
LAO
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MMR
1 - 0
LSO
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
MMR
0 - 0
PHL
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
MMR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
MMR
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |