China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
JPN
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 6
CHN
7%
16%
78%
|
84 | 30 | 54 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
TUN
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MDV
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
7 - 0
BTN
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 0
HKG
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HKG
1 - 0
GUM
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
HKG
0 - 0
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |