China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHN
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HTI
4 - 3
CHN
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
HKG
89%
8%
2%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 4
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |