China U21 vs Thailand U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
2 - 1
TJK
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 7
THA
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
0 - 1
SWE
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Thailand U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
MYA
4 - 2
THA
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
THA
0 - 1
MYA
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
VIE
0 - 1
THA
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
THA
2 - 1
MAS
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
THA
2 - 0
VIE
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |