China U21 vs Rusia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
74.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHN
0 - 0
UZB
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 0
MAS
24%
21%
54%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CHN
2 - 1
VIE
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 2
MNE
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
MEX
24%
21%
56%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rusia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
RUS
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
UZB
3 - 3
RUS
3%
7%
90%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BLR
1 - 6
RUS
9%
15%
76%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
RUS
1 - 0
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 1
RUS
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |