China U20 vs Palestina U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 3
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 3
ENG
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHN
33%
24%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHN
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHN
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |