China U23 vs Timor Oriental U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHN
2 - 1
MAS
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
QAT
0 - 2
CHN
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
2 - 0
CHN
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 0
CHN
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 1
MAS
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Timor Oriental U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
TIO
0 - 4
THA
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
MYA
4 - 4
TIO
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
TIO
1 - 3
MAS
12%
15%
74%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IDN
1 - 0
TIO
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MAS
1 - 2
TIO
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +1 |