China U23 vs Tayikistán U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 0
QAT
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 0
BGD
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MYA
0 - 4
CHN
8%
17%
75%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
5 - 1
IND
89%
9%
2%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Tayikistán U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
2 - 1
HKG
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
HKG
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
UZB
2 - 0
TJK
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 1
KWT
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 0
JOR
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |