China U23 vs Japón U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 3
BRA
34%
24%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
CHN
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 2
CHN
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
CHN
2 - 1
OMA
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Japón U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
NED
1 - 0
JPN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 1
JPN
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
0 - 1
USA
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 2
PRK
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 19 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SYR
0 - 1
JPN
28%
23%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |