China U23 vs Corea del Sur U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHN
4 - 2
THA
54%
21%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 0
CHN
37%
23%
40%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 5
AUS
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Corea del Sur U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
3 - 6
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
6 - 0
HND
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ROU
0 - 4
KOR
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NZL
1 - 0
KOR
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 2
FRA
53%
22%
26%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |