China U23 vs Brasil U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
CHN
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 2
CHN
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
CHN
2 - 1
OMA
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 3
CHN
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NZL
0 - 5
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 2
CMR
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -7 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 0
JPN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 3
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -2 |