Chimbarongo vs Provincial Ranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
14º
12º
19
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
RAS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 2
CDQ
21%
24%
56%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CHG
0 - 2
CHI
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
CDC
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
MPA
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
CHG
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
RAS
1 - 0
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 3
CDC
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 3
MPA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDQ
0 - 0
PRO
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |