Chimbarongo vs CDSC Iberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
4º
11
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 25 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 15 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 2
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MEJ
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
RAS
1 - 3
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 3
CDC
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
CDQ
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CDSC Iberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IBE
0 - 2
ACC
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
IBE
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
IBE
3 - 2
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DLI
2 - 3
IBE
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IBE
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |