Chimbarongo vs Municipal Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
4º
37
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
|
1º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 25 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 15 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHG
0 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SCF
4 - 0
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 2
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
IBE
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 2
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 1
ACC
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 0
DUC
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUC
1 - 1
BDS
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 3
BDS
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 0
CIU
82%
12%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |