Chimaltenango vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DSA
3 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
26%
30%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
JUP
1 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 2
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DBC
1 - 1
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |